Sunday, September 25, 2011

($EURUSD, $MACRO) German politics: Bail-outs? Nein, danke | The Economist

($EURUSD, $MACRO) £1.75 trillion deal to save the euro - Telegraph

($EURUSD, $MACRO) Portugal's prime minister said the economy is expected to shrink 2.3% next year, worse than expected, as global growth slows.
($JJC) A massive power blackout paralyzed crucial copper mines in Chile on Saturday and darkened vast swaths of the country including the capital Santiago before energy was largely restored, officials said.-Reuters
($EURUSD, $MACRO) Billionaire investor George Soros, speaking on the sidelines of the IMF meeting, said that the crisis is worse than the global financial crisis in the wake of the collapse of Lehman Brothers in the fall of 2008.
“In 2008 the right authorities to deal with the crisis were in place. Now they have to be created,” Soros said.
$UBS Chief Executive Oswald Gruebel resigned on Saturday, taking responsibility for a recent rogue trading incident that cost the Swiss bank at least $2.3 billion in losses.
The board named Sergio Ermotti, the bank’s European head, as interim CEO and launched a search for a permanent successor, UBS said.

Saturday, September 24, 2011

($MACRO) If leadership fails, prepare for recession - Telegraph

($EURUSD, $MACRO) Rescuing the Euro: The Fatal Mistakes of Berlin's Bailout Strategy

($SPX, $SPY) There is a tremendous amount of uncertainty about the European situation and we jumping around constantly as each new headline or rumor hits. While many market participants aren't very optimistic about a solution they are also afraid of being squeezed by whatever talk emerges from the G20 meeting this weekend.
There are plenty of negatives out there and the technical picture reflects it. After the breakdown in early August, we have been bouncing around in a wide trading range for more than a month. We tested the upper resistance levels a couple of times on rumors and news that Greece was saved once again, but those moves didn't hold and the selling this week took us right to the bottom of the trading range around 1115 to 1120 of the S&P 500.
We held that level yesterday and managed a very weak oversold bounce on light volume today, but we are in a very precarious position. The testing of the support is weakening it and I don't believe the market will be able to do much to the upside until it breaches support and produces a capitulation event of some sort. Too many folks are hoping this level will hold, and the market always likes to crush any hope before it turns back up.-R.Shark

Cramer on $SPX, $SPY

Oh man, true bear market action today.
"Don't be short ahead of what might be a deal this weekend over in Europe."
Believe me, there's not much more to it.
This is short-covering on rumors of Merkel getting her hands dirty or the IMF stepping up or a French TARP or a Middle East investment.
We don't get that? I think we go right back down Monday.

($AAPL) Samsung Sows Patent Confusion -WSJ

($MACRO) The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage dipped below 4%, possibly triggering a refinancing boom for many of the same borrowers who already have taken advantage of rock-bottom interest rates.-WSJ

($BAC) BofA sued by shareholder over $10 billion AIG loss | Reuters

($FXI) Marc Faber about China

"If we define a bubble as excessive credit growth and artificially low interest rate, then China has had a gigantic bubble. Now, will it collapse or will it just slow down, that is a different issue but some sectors of the economy will collapse."

Jim Rogers Blog: Latest CNBC Video Interview

Jim Rogers Blog: Latest CNBC Video Interview: Topics: commentary on the recent market turmoil, currencies and politics; Jim Rogers is an author, financial commentator and successful...
($GS) There is a rumor floating around that Goldman Sachs will report a loss!!!!
$BAC is in major support right now and probably will rebound from these levels.
$HPQ is lower that the March 2009 lows, is this a market tell?
($SPX, $SPY) It wouldn’t surprise me if something market moving came this weekend from Europe or the Administration. There are rumors of a massive mortgage bailout promulgated by the White House to assist Fannie and Freddie. We will find out Monday.
($GLD, $SLV) Precious metals prices plummeted on more selling. Probably some traders are in trouble with positions either with the metals or with other positions and are facing margin calls. We’ll find out sooner or later. In addition CME hiked Gold and Silver margins.