Tuesday, September 13, 2011

Morgan Stanley on $SPX $SPY

If the S&P 500 were to get below 1000, that might be the level where I would get incrementallymore interested in the equity market, knowing what we know now. I think the stocks that couldoutperform from here are not the low-quality names that led the rebound from the global financialcrisis. In the up markets in 2003 and 2009, the low-quality names were the standouts as the costof capital fell, along with fears of insolvency. Today, there is less fear about companies goingbankrupt. The characteristic of equities in this environment that I find the most convincing is theirattractiveness versus other asset classes. Perhaps this is the environment in which defensible,high-yielding stocks finally take the spotlight.

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